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Optimising Corporate ROI through Strategic Business Research

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Organization news and monetary news, analysis, opinion and statistics covering the 6 Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

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Economic growth across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to accelerate in 2026, with the area forecasted to outperform its 2025 performance in spite of muted oil earnings and continuous global unpredictabilities. According to a brand-new Oxford Economics research study briefing, GCC GDP growth is expected to rise to 4.4 percent in 2026, up from 4 percent in 2025, reflecting a resistant nonenergy sector, strong customer dynamics, and slowly enhancing oil output.

The most current projections suggest that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to regain momentum, buoyed by reinforcing domestic demand and a broadly stable global backdrop. The report highlights GCC consumers as a significant motorist of the area's financial performance heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing real disposable incomes are expected to sustain a surge in consumer costs across the Gulf.

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Credit development is also forecast to remain elevated as access to financial services broadens. With GCC reserve banks anticipated to follow expected United States Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the region's dollar pegs, obtaining expenses are likely to decline, offering households and services even more motivation to spend and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the region's durability, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook presents a mixed photo.

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This might weigh on firsthalf development, particularly for economies more reliant on oil extraction. Nevertheless, Oxford Economics forecasts a rebound later on in 2026, with Opec+ members anticipated to resume raising production as inventories tighten up and global demand enhances. Qatar, on the other hand, stands out as a regional outperformer, with significant expansions in gas production and exports expected to raise its general economic performance.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 spending plan prepares for a 6 per cent cut in capital investment as the kingdom intends to narrow its fiscal deficit by 2 percentage points. The report keeps in mind that these cuts might not materialise totally if countercyclical spending measures are triggered to support development. By contrast, more diversified economies such as the UAE and Qatar are expected to continue advancing their development agendas.

In spite of shortterm threats connected to oil rates and international need, the GCC's 2026 economic outlook is specified by strength in basics: resistant customers, robust nonenergy sectors, improving oil dynamics, and strategic financial preparation. With these elements aligning, the area is getting ready for one of its most well balanced periods of expansion in the last few years anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP development.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council regional economies are expected to stay resilient in 2026, driven by strong domestic demand and a broadly consistent international economy, according to an analysis. In its latest report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the genuine gdp of the GCC area is expected to broaden by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the projected 4 percent this year.

We anticipate GCC development will increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center stated that financial growth in the area is set to speed up to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by expanding non-oil sectors.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+


Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of total GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the area's ongoing development toward diversity. According to Oxford Economics, GCC consumers will be standout performers in 2026 and are anticipated to exceed their international peers.

In December, the IMF further said that headline inflation is expected to remain listed below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, close to 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and a little above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit growth is anticipated to stay raised in the GCC area during 2026, as access to monetary services is anticipated to grow and lending is forecasted to be supported by additional cuts in rate of interest."Owing to their currency pegs to the United States dollar, GCC reserve banks are anticipated to follow the US Federal Reserve by alleviating financial policy further, which in turn will decrease debt maintenance expenses and increase disposable income and need," said the report.

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