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To reverse a decade of deteriorating total aspect performance, regional labour market policy is shifting from basic job production to managing active workforce transitions. Governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to equip employees for emerging functions. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style pathways are ending up being more common as firms incorporate AI tools into day-to-day workflows.
With oil prices anticipated to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional federal governments are heightening their focus on expenditure discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is pivoting toward the monetisation of state-owned possessions in logistics, energies, and desalination to redirect funds towards higher-impact investments. While loaning through sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is expected to increase to fund strategic deficits, the focus stays on strengthening non-oil earnings structures.
PwC Middle East financial policy and method partner Jing Teow stated: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now focused on shipment. In 2026, the top priority is reinforcing economic strength through more safe and secure trade and financial investment relationships, efficient AI release, handled workforce shifts and disciplined financial policy in a more challenging and fragmented international environment.".

Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's financial growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, durable domestic need and restored financial investment momentum, according to the most recent ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to surpass most global regions peers next year, with local GDP projection to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is forecasted to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and increasing financial investment in technology and AI-related infrastructure.
Although oil profits will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is anticipated to rise once again in the second half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will remain a significant factor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Development will be supported by industrial growth and policy reforms, consisting of relieved foreign ownership rules that intend to stimulate more financial investment. The fiscal deficit is forecasted to widen to 5.6% of GDP next year amid softer oil costs, while the recent five-year rent freeze in Riyadh intends to reduce inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise positioned for another strong year of performance, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourism, trade and financial services remain crucial growth motorists, supported by population development and sustained domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.

Oil production is anticipated to get once again in the 2nd half of 2026, matching continuous financial investment in infrastructure, innovation and international trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook enhances how far the GCC has actually can be found in structure diverse, resilient and worldwide competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Economist and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, said: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are entering 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is getting pace, supported by robust need and rising investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to take advantage of solid domestic principles, a sharp uplift in federal government spending and sustained diversity efforts.
Key GCC Market Research Insights in 2026What identifies 2026 from preceding years is not simply the velocity of technological modification, though that acceleration is genuine, but rather a fundamental shift in how business envisage their GCCs' function. The is expected to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this development masks a more extensive transformation.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss responsibility, and add to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most effective GCCs will act like internal startups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with global service results. This shift from execution to ownership represents possibly the single most considerable tactical recalibration in the GCC design's advancement.
Today, we're convening more than 3000 meetings in between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're bringing together investors, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the region, and what follows, consisting of the expansion and ongoing development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing role in worldwide networks of capital and trade.
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